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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+7.54vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+5.30vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.28+5.02vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.40+3.15vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+2.61vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+2.75vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.18-2.36vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-0.39vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.44+2.82vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.93vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.69-0.48vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.73-3.03vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.93-1.98vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-3.01vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.20-3.03vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.59-5.51vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.17-4.89vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.31-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.7%1st Place
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7.3Cornell University2.388.8%1st Place
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8.02Tulane University2.286.5%1st Place
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7.15Georgetown University2.408.6%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College2.387.4%1st Place
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8.75University of Rhode Island2.785.4%1st Place
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4.64Harvard University3.1817.9%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.1%1st Place
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11.82George Washington University1.443.2%1st Place
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8.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.8%1st Place
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10.52Florida State University1.693.8%1st Place
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8.97Webb Institute1.734.4%1st Place
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11.02University of Miami1.932.9%1st Place
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10.99University of California at Santa Barbara1.672.9%1st Place
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11.97Connecticut College1.202.9%1st Place
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10.49Old Dominion University1.593.9%1st Place
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12.11Eckerd College1.172.3%1st Place
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15.42University of Wisconsin0.310.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Bridget Green | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kelly Holthus | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.9% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 8.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Peter Foley | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 4.9% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 8.9% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 14.6% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.