Race 6B

underdog

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John McGlynn 16.2% 16.9% 16.0% 14.8% 14.3% 9.8% 7.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Jack Kerby-Miller 5.5% 5.3% 7.6% 7.6% 9.8% 11.8% 13.4% 13.1% 15.3% 8.2% 2.4%
John Giuliano 13.4% 15.6% 16.0% 14.0% 12.5% 12.6% 7.1% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Justin Marks 6.0% 6.6% 7.1% 8.4% 9.5% 14.0% 14.6% 13.7% 11.7% 5.7% 2.7%
John Joseph 11.6% 11.7% 10.8% 11.9% 13.9% 11.7% 11.7% 8.6% 5.3% 2.1% 0.7%
David Pierce 11.1% 12.1% 12.8% 14.1% 13.1% 10.4% 10.4% 7.3% 6.1% 2.3% 0.3%
Josh Basseches 0.7% 2.1% 2.7% 1.6% 2.2% 3.2% 3.6% 7.2% 11.6% 22.0% 43.1%
Stephanie Dowling 3.6% 2.7% 4.1% 6.2% 6.5% 9.6% 10.4% 13.0% 16.0% 17.8% 10.1%
Emerson Krock 3.3% 4.2% 5.0% 3.8% 6.3% 7.5% 11.3% 16.2% 17.5% 15.3% 9.6%
Joshua Revkin 1.9% 1.2% 1.9% 3.1% 4.0% 3.6% 5.8% 10.8% 11.9% 25.0% 30.8%
Cameron Fraser 26.7% 21.6% 16.0% 14.5% 7.9% 5.8% 4.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.