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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut2.59+2.71vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.50+4.25vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University2.71+0.58vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy2.20+0.70vs Predicted
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5Bates College2.26-0.60vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.05+1.37vs Predicted
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7Amherst College0.96+0.36vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University1.25-1.30vs Predicted
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9Williams College0.22+0.06vs Predicted
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10McGill University1.05-2.82vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.65-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71University of Connecticut2.590.2%1st Place
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6.25Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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3.58Wesleyan University2.710.2%1st Place
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4.7Maine Maritime Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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4.4Bates College2.260.2%1st Place
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7.37Boston University1.050.0%1st Place
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7.36Amherst College0.960.0%1st Place
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6.7Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
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9.06Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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7.18McGill University1.050.0%1st Place
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5.7University of New Hampshire1.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Giuliano | 17.8% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 4.3% |
| John McGlynn | 19.0% | 20.6% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Joseph | 12.1% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| David Pierce | 15.4% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Waldman | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 13.8% |
| Stephanie Dowling | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 13.1% |
| Jared Dunn | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% |
| Joshua Revkin | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 44.9% |
| Emerson Krock | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 10.6% |
| Christopher Edwards | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.