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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.72vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.28+6.02vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+5.69vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.44+7.78vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+2.64vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.38+1.66vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.55vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-0.19vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.93+2.27vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.69+0.33vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.40-3.80vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.59-1.48vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-2.20vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.17-1.75vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.38-7.37vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.20-4.16vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.73-8.13vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.31-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Harvard University3.1816.9%1st Place
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8.02Tulane University2.286.4%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island2.785.1%1st Place
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11.78George Washington University1.442.7%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.0%1st Place
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7.66Cornell University2.387.4%1st Place
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8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.4%1st Place
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7.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.8%1st Place
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11.27University of Miami1.932.9%1st Place
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10.33Florida State University1.694.0%1st Place
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7.2Georgetown University2.407.3%1st Place
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10.52Old Dominion University1.593.6%1st Place
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10.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.673.3%1st Place
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12.25Eckerd College1.172.1%1st Place
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7.63Dartmouth College2.387.5%1st Place
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11.84Connecticut College1.202.8%1st Place
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8.87Webb Institute1.735.5%1st Place
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15.41University of Wisconsin0.311.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 16.9% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Holthus | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Green | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.2% |
| Peter Foley | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Henry Boeger | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 4.5% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% |
| William Michels | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 7.5% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 50.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.