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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria-0.60+3.19vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.72+2.30vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.27-0.09vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.47-1.37vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.25-1.93vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.38-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.3Western Washington University-0.720.1%1st Place
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2.91University of British Columbia0.270.2%1st Place
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2.63University of British Columbia0.470.3%1st Place
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3.07University of Victoria0.250.2%1st Place
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3.9University of Victoria-0.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Koch | 7.2% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 22.7% | 28.2% |
| Camille Ottaway | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 33.8% |
| Richard Minielly | 23.6% | 21.3% | 19.8% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 5.7% |
| Shaan Shridhar (UW) | 28.7% | 22.1% | 21.9% | 15.4% | 8.9% | 3.0% |
| Maria Isberg | 21.1% | 20.6% | 20.2% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 9.0% |
| Oliver Barry | 11.3% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 21.9% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.