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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia0.27+1.95vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.25+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.60+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.38-0.18vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.47-2.23vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.72-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95University of British Columbia0.270.2%1st Place
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2.92University of Victoria0.250.2%1st Place
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4.19University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Victoria-0.380.1%1st Place
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2.77University of British Columbia0.470.3%1st Place
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4.35Western Washington University-0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Minielly | 20.8% | 23.7% | 20.3% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 6.6% |
| Maria Isberg | 23.5% | 22.5% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 6.2% |
| Lukas Koch | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 22.3% | 28.8% |
| Oliver Barry | 12.8% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 21.6% | 19.1% |
| Shaan Shridhar (UW) | 26.4% | 22.1% | 20.7% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 5.8% |
| Camille Ottaway | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 20.6% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.