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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+6.30vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+6.36vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+4.42vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.57vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.18-0.42vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.69+4.03vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.30vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20+0.13vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.59+1.45vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.71+0.18vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-3.21vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.28-3.99vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.44-1.53vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.17-1.95vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.93-4.09vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.09-3.61vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.31-1.82vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Cornell University2.389.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Rhode Island2.785.5%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College2.388.3%1st Place
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7.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.3%1st Place
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4.58Harvard University3.1815.6%1st Place
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10.03Florida State University1.694.2%1st Place
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8.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.1%1st Place
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8.13Georgetown University2.206.0%1st Place
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10.45Old Dominion University1.593.6%1st Place
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10.18Webb Institute1.714.6%1st Place
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7.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.1%1st Place
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8.01Tulane University2.286.8%1st Place
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11.47George Washington University1.443.5%1st Place
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12.05Eckerd College1.172.9%1st Place
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10.91University of Miami1.933.8%1st Place
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12.39Connecticut College1.092.3%1st Place
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15.18University of Wisconsin0.310.4%1st Place
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10.87University of California at Santa Barbara1.673.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| William Michels | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.6% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Foley | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Kelly Holthus | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 8.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 10.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
| Duncan Craine | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 12.3% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 45.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.