Race 8B

underdog

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Giuliano 16.9% 18.7% 15.5% 15.4% 11.9% 10.2% 4.9% 3.4% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1%
John McGlynn 22.5% 19.0% 17.7% 13.0% 10.2% 7.2% 5.4% 3.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.2%
Jack Kerby-Miller 6.0% 5.9% 8.4% 8.1% 9.1% 10.4% 12.3% 12.0% 10.8% 10.9% 6.1%
Christopher Edwards 7.2% 6.7% 8.1% 8.6% 11.8% 10.6% 12.2% 11.6% 11.2% 8.0% 4.0%
David Pierce 14.1% 13.7% 13.9% 13.4% 11.6% 10.9% 8.1% 7.6% 3.9% 2.2% 0.6%
John Joseph 13.2% 13.3% 12.9% 12.0% 14.2% 10.8% 7.8% 7.1% 5.2% 2.6% 0.9%
Jacob Waldman 4.9% 5.5% 4.5% 6.2% 7.3% 8.4% 11.6% 13.0% 12.0% 15.2% 11.4%
Emerson Krock 4.4% 4.1% 6.0% 7.3% 6.1% 9.9% 10.4% 12.5% 12.8% 14.3% 12.2%
Stephanie Dowling 3.9% 4.8% 4.0% 5.2% 6.1% 7.0% 9.3% 12.6% 14.6% 15.9% 16.6%
Jared Dunn 5.3% 6.0% 6.8% 7.7% 7.7% 9.9% 11.8% 10.0% 14.5% 12.2% 8.1%
Joshua Revkin 1.6% 2.3% 2.2% 3.1% 4.0% 4.7% 6.2% 7.2% 10.8% 18.1% 39.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.