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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.80+3.47vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia0.55+2.11vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.87+0.29vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.46+1.82vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.16+0.22vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-3.38vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.15-4.34vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.22-3.53vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia0.82-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Christopher Newport University0.800.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Virginia0.550.1%1st Place
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4.29William and Mary0.870.1%1st Place
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6.82Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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6.22Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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3.62Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.2%1st Place
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3.66Virginia Tech1.150.2%1st Place
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6.47William and Mary-0.220.1%1st Place
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4.34University of Virginia0.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Kempton | 12.0% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Trent Levy | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 6.8% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 14.2% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Veronica Lane | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 20.0% | 32.6% |
| Haley Clemson | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 19.2% | 22.4% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 19.0% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 18.5% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Katie Hogan | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 20.2% | 25.6% |
| Katie Purcell | 14.5% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.