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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.68vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.80+1.59vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.87+0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia0.55-0.17vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.15-2.37vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.22-0.55vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia0.82-3.67vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.16-2.67vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-0.46-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.2%1st Place
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4.59Christopher Newport University0.800.1%1st Place
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4.27William and Mary0.870.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Virginia0.550.1%1st Place
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3.63Virginia Tech1.150.2%1st Place
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6.45William and Mary-0.220.0%1st Place
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4.33University of Virginia0.820.1%1st Place
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6.33Drexel University-0.160.1%1st Place
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6.89Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew O'Brien | 18.9% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 9.5% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 13.4% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Trent Levy | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.7% |
| Nicholas Brady | 20.7% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Katie Hogan | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 20.9% | 23.6% |
| Katie Purcell | 12.3% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 2.9% |
| Haley Clemson | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 22.8% |
| Veronica Lane | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 19.7% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.