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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+2.57vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.87+2.25vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.15+0.60vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia0.55-0.36vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia0.82-1.89vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.16-0.91vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.80-3.76vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-1.31-1.12vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.46-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.2%1st Place
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4.25William and Mary0.870.1%1st Place
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3.6Virginia Tech1.150.2%1st Place
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4.64University of Virginia0.550.1%1st Place
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4.11University of Virginia0.820.1%1st Place
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6.09Drexel University-0.160.1%1st Place
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4.24Christopher Newport University0.800.1%1st Place
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7.88William and Mary-1.310.0%1st Place
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6.63Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew O'Brien | 19.7% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 11.6% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Brady | 18.9% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Trent Levy | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 3.4% |
| Katie Purcell | 14.7% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Haley Clemson | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 19.2% | 22.3% | 12.3% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 12.9% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Emily Cassio | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 16.5% | 59.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 28.5% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.