← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+2.60vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.80+2.45vs Predicted
-
3University of Virginia0.55+1.76vs Predicted
-
4University of Virginia0.82+0.08vs Predicted
-
5William and Mary0.87-1.00vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech1.15-2.48vs Predicted
-
8Monmouth University-0.46-1.33vs Predicted
-
9Drexel University-0.16-2.95vs Predicted
-
11William and Mary-1.31-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.6Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.2%1st Place
-
4.45Christopher Newport University0.800.1%1st Place
-
4.76University of Virginia0.550.1%1st Place
-
4.08University of Virginia0.820.1%1st Place
-
4.0William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
-
3.52Virginia Tech1.150.2%1st Place
-
6.67Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
6.05Drexel University-0.160.1%1st Place
-
7.86William and Mary-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew O'Brien | 19.0% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 9.1% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Trent Levy | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 2.9% |
| Katie Purcell | 14.5% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 15.4% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Brady | 19.7% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Veronica Lane | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 29.4% | 20.2% |
| Haley Clemson | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 18.8% | 21.0% | 12.7% |
| Emily Cassio | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 17.8% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.