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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University0.36+1.99vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.59-0.29vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.02-0.41vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.82-2.53vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.42-0.43vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.93-2.16vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-2.73-0.93vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-2.50-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99Monmouth University0.360.2%1st Place
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2.71Virginia Tech0.590.2%1st Place
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3.59University of Virginia-0.020.1%1st Place
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2.47Christopher Newport University0.820.3%1st Place
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5.57Drexel University-1.420.0%1st Place
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4.84William and Mary-0.930.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Virginia-2.730.0%1st Place
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6.76William and Mary-2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 21.2% | 21.2% | 20.4% | 19.3% | 11.8% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 24.8% | 24.0% | 23.3% | 15.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jillian Ticatch | 13.3% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 22.5% | 20.3% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Ian O'Connell | 30.3% | 26.0% | 20.9% | 14.6% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tobias Green | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 18.0% | 30.3% | 23.7% | 7.3% |
| Thomas Griffiths | 5.2% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 24.6% | 25.4% | 11.2% | 3.2% |
| Hannah Lothrop | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 24.7% | 53.9% |
| August Williams | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 15.3% | 35.7% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.