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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University0.36+1.99vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.59+0.75vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.82-0.56vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.02-0.42vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-2.73+1.07vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.93-2.16vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-1.42-3.44vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-2.50-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99Monmouth University0.360.2%1st Place
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2.75Virginia Tech0.590.2%1st Place
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2.44Christopher Newport University0.820.3%1st Place
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3.58University of Virginia-0.020.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Virginia-2.730.0%1st Place
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4.84William and Mary-0.930.1%1st Place
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5.56Drexel University-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.77William and Mary-2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 19.1% | 22.3% | 22.6% | 18.6% | 12.4% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 23.6% | 25.0% | 21.8% | 16.8% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian O'Connell | 32.6% | 24.1% | 21.9% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jillian Ticatch | 13.8% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 23.6% | 18.2% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Lothrop | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 12.0% | 27.0% | 50.9% |
| Thomas Griffiths | 5.7% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 25.3% | 24.3% | 11.0% | 3.6% |
| Tobias Green | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 18.8% | 29.1% | 22.0% | 9.3% |
| August Williams | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 6.1% | 16.0% | 34.4% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.