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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.59+1.55vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University0.36+0.89vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.02+0.42vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.24-1.92vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.93-1.22vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-1.42-2.53vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-2.50-2.18vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia-2.73-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Virginia Tech0.590.3%1st Place
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2.89Monmouth University0.360.2%1st Place
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3.42University of Virginia-0.020.2%1st Place
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3.08Christopher Newport University0.240.2%1st Place
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4.78William and Mary-0.930.1%1st Place
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5.47Drexel University-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.82William and Mary-2.500.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Virginia-2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Magno | 30.7% | 24.3% | 19.9% | 14.2% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 22.4% | 23.4% | 20.2% | 17.1% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jillian Ticatch | 15.7% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Douglass | 19.8% | 20.5% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Griffiths | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 24.0% | 24.2% | 12.4% | 2.5% |
| Tobias Green | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 17.6% | 30.3% | 19.6% | 8.9% |
| August Williams | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 31.9% | 41.8% |
| Hannah Lothrop | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 12.7% | 29.8% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.