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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.59+1.52vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University0.36-0.12vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.24-0.91vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.93-0.19vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.02-2.54vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-1.42-2.56vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-2.50-2.19vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia-2.73-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Virginia Tech0.590.3%1st Place
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2.88Monmouth University0.360.2%1st Place
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3.09Christopher Newport University0.240.2%1st Place
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4.81William and Mary-0.930.1%1st Place
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3.46University of Virginia-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.44Drexel University-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.81William and Mary-2.500.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Virginia-2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Magno | 31.4% | 24.4% | 19.8% | 13.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 22.5% | 23.4% | 20.5% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Douglass | 19.3% | 20.5% | 20.6% | 20.5% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Griffiths | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 24.5% | 23.3% | 13.3% | 3.0% |
| Jillian Ticatch | 14.9% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 21.0% | 16.6% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Tobias Green | 4.4% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 29.7% | 18.8% | 9.1% |
| August Williams | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 13.9% | 31.5% | 40.8% |
| Hannah Lothrop | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 12.1% | 30.0% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.