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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.59+1.69vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.82+0.45vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University0.36-0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.02-1.42vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.93-1.13vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-1.42-1.47vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-2.50-1.16vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia-2.73-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Virginia Tech0.590.3%1st Place
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2.45Christopher Newport University0.820.3%1st Place
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3.02Monmouth University0.360.2%1st Place
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3.58University of Virginia-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.87William and Mary-0.930.1%1st Place
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5.53Drexel University-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.84William and Mary-2.500.0%1st Place
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7.01University of Virginia-2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Magno | 25.9% | 25.7% | 20.2% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian O'Connell | 30.4% | 27.1% | 19.9% | 14.5% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 20.0% | 19.4% | 23.4% | 19.4% | 12.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jillian Ticatch | 13.0% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 23.0% | 17.1% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Griffiths | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 24.8% | 26.0% | 12.2% | 2.5% |
| Tobias Green | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 19.5% | 30.9% | 19.7% | 8.9% |
| August Williams | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 32.3% | 41.8% |
| Hannah Lothrop | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 12.5% | 30.2% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.