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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Christopher Newport University0.82+0.41vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University0.36+0.04vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.02-0.42vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.59-2.27vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.42-0.44vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.93-2.17vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-2.50-1.15vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia-2.73-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Christopher Newport University0.820.3%1st Place
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3.04Monmouth University0.360.2%1st Place
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3.58University of Virginia-0.020.1%1st Place
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2.73Virginia Tech0.590.2%1st Place
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5.56Drexel University-1.420.0%1st Place
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4.83William and Mary-0.930.1%1st Place
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6.85William and Mary-2.500.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Virginia-2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian O'Connell | 32.4% | 25.6% | 21.0% | 13.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 19.2% | 20.7% | 23.3% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jillian Ticatch | 13.3% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 21.9% | 19.6% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Magno | 24.6% | 24.8% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tobias Green | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 17.4% | 32.0% | 22.7% | 7.3% |
| Thomas Griffiths | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 24.4% | 25.3% | 10.9% | 3.3% |
| August Williams | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 31.1% | 42.2% |
| Hannah Lothrop | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 11.3% | 30.1% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.