Race 9B

underdog

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Giuliano 18.2% 17.0% 16.0% 13.9% 13.0% 9.5% 6.6% 3.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Christopher Edwards 8.1% 7.6% 9.7% 6.7% 11.6% 12.7% 11.8% 11.5% 10.1% 6.7% 3.5%
Jared Dunn 4.7% 5.2% 5.9% 5.6% 8.2% 9.2% 11.4% 12.3% 14.3% 12.9% 10.3%
John McGlynn 20.3% 18.5% 16.4% 15.6% 9.7% 7.5% 5.8% 3.8% 1.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Jacob Waldman 4.2% 5.4% 5.0% 5.1% 7.2% 8.8% 11.6% 11.0% 12.9% 15.4% 13.4%
David Pierce 13.7% 14.0% 13.0% 15.4% 12.0% 7.7% 9.3% 6.6% 4.5% 3.1% 0.7%
John Joseph 14.3% 15.0% 12.2% 14.4% 11.0% 12.0% 7.4% 7.0% 3.7% 1.6% 1.4%
Jack Kerby-Miller 7.6% 5.4% 8.5% 9.2% 10.0% 11.5% 10.9% 12.5% 11.2% 9.3% 3.9%
Stephanie Dowling 3.3% 4.3% 5.0% 5.1% 6.3% 7.7% 10.0% 10.8% 15.1% 16.8% 15.6%
Emerson Krock 4.3% 5.4% 5.5% 6.2% 7.2% 8.6% 9.6% 12.5% 13.8% 15.7% 11.2%
Joshua Revkin 1.3% 2.2% 2.8% 2.8% 3.8% 4.8% 5.6% 8.6% 11.0% 17.2% 39.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.