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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.21vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.39+1.16vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.94-0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+0.41vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20+0.16vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
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3.16Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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2.52Brown University1.940.3%1st Place
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4.41University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.1%1st Place
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5.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
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3.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 35.6% | 29.7% | 19.6% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 16.9% | 19.3% | 20.0% | 24.0% | 14.5% | 5.3% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 26.5% | 26.5% | 24.4% | 15.5% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Noah Brayer | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 19.1% | 31.4% | 26.3% |
| Maeve Glancy | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 20.7% | 58.2% |
| Braden Foster | 12.3% | 13.4% | 20.4% | 22.6% | 23.8% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.