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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.20vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.39+1.19vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+1.37vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.94-1.49vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-1.41vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
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3.19Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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4.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.1%1st Place
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2.51Brown University1.940.3%1st Place
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3.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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5.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 37.1% | 28.2% | 18.0% | 11.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 15.5% | 20.0% | 21.5% | 21.4% | 16.6% | 5.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 32.4% | 25.0% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 27.1% | 26.3% | 24.2% | 14.7% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Braden Foster | 11.0% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 23.3% | 21.5% | 9.9% |
| Maeve Glancy | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 19.3% | 57.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.