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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.21vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.39+1.17vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.94-0.49vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20+1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-0.52vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
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3.17Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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2.51Brown University1.940.3%1st Place
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5.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
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4.48University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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3.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 36.1% | 28.6% | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 17.6% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 23.4% | 15.2% | 5.8% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 26.8% | 26.0% | 24.7% | 15.4% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Maeve Glancy | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 10.7% | 22.3% | 54.3% |
| Noah Brayer | 3.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 17.4% | 30.1% | 29.2% |
| Braden Foster | 12.5% | 12.7% | 20.8% | 23.5% | 22.7% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.