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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.94+1.53vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20+3.07vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+1.41vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.39-0.84vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-2.72vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Brown University1.940.3%1st Place
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5.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
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4.41University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.1%1st Place
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3.16Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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2.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
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3.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Hannon | 27.2% | 27.7% | 20.9% | 15.0% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| Maeve Glancy | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 56.5% |
| Noah Brayer | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 16.5% | 31.6% | 27.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 16.4% | 17.3% | 24.0% | 22.9% | 15.0% | 4.4% |
| Frank Reeg | 35.8% | 27.4% | 18.2% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Braden Foster | 10.9% | 15.3% | 20.7% | 22.4% | 22.2% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.