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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.19vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.39+1.17vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15+0.52vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20+1.09vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.94-2.40vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
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3.17Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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3.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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5.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
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2.6Brown University1.940.3%1st Place
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4.43University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 37.3% | 27.3% | 20.2% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 16.5% | 19.8% | 20.4% | 22.5% | 14.7% | 6.1% |
| Braden Foster | 11.9% | 15.1% | 19.6% | 24.2% | 21.4% | 7.8% |
| Maeve Glancy | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 20.6% | 55.6% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 26.3% | 26.1% | 21.9% | 15.3% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
| Noah Brayer | 5.5% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 32.2% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.