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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.21vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.94+0.51vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39+0.18vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-0.46vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20+0.15vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
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2.51Brown University1.940.3%1st Place
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3.18Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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3.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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5.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
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4.42University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 35.2% | 30.0% | 20.1% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 29.6% | 24.5% | 21.4% | 15.7% | 7.1% | 1.7% |
| Jennifer Killian | 16.1% | 17.6% | 23.0% | 23.4% | 15.4% | 4.5% |
| Braden Foster | 11.9% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 26.7% | 20.5% | 8.1% |
| Maeve Glancy | 1.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 20.8% | 58.2% |
| Noah Brayer | 5.3% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 16.9% | 32.2% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.