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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.56+2.69vs Predicted
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2Bentley University1.03+4.70vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.57+4.70vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.49-1.70vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.13-0.54vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.39-0.01vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.96-2.38vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.30-3.97vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.48+0.39vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-2.28vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.56-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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6.7Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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7.7Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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2.3Boston University3.490.4%1st Place
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4.46Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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5.99Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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4.62Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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4.03Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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7.72University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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9.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gibbs | 13.6% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 2.4% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 8.4% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 37.4% | 26.7% | 18.4% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Read | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Austen Freda | 10.6% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Foster | 12.3% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Martin Hooker | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 23.4% | 40.8% |
| Noah Brayer | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 17.5% | 21.4% | 16.9% | 8.1% |
| Sergio Gratta | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 13.7% | 24.5% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.