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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Matthew Gibbs 13.6% 17.9% 17.7% 18.0% 14.1% 10.4% 6.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Memoli 4.4% 3.3% 4.7% 7.4% 9.5% 11.6% 15.5% 17.0% 14.8% 9.4% 2.4%
Ben Palmer 2.2% 2.7% 3.7% 3.6% 5.7% 8.2% 11.6% 16.8% 20.0% 17.1% 8.4%
Javier De urdanibia panos 37.4% 26.7% 18.4% 9.1% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Riley Read 11.5% 12.1% 12.8% 15.0% 14.4% 13.4% 11.5% 5.7% 2.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Jennifer Killian 4.4% 5.6% 7.9% 10.1% 11.7% 15.0% 15.4% 14.2% 8.6% 5.9% 1.2%
Austen Freda 10.6% 10.7% 13.1% 13.7% 15.0% 14.8% 10.6% 6.4% 4.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Rachel Foster 12.3% 16.8% 16.3% 14.5% 14.2% 10.8% 8.6% 4.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Martin Hooker 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 3.8% 3.5% 8.2% 13.3% 23.4% 40.8%
Noah Brayer 1.9% 2.7% 3.3% 4.9% 6.0% 6.7% 10.6% 17.5% 21.4% 16.9% 8.1%
Sergio Gratta 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 1.9% 2.4% 3.0% 6.0% 7.5% 13.7% 24.5% 38.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.