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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Javier De urdanibia panos 40.4% 24.9% 17.8% 8.7% 5.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jennifer Killian 4.9% 6.4% 7.5% 8.9% 10.9% 15.1% 17.3% 12.8% 9.9% 5.0% 1.3%
Sergio Gratta 1.2% 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 2.1% 2.6% 3.3% 7.5% 11.0% 23.3% 45.4%
Matthew Gibbs 14.6% 17.7% 17.4% 18.2% 13.9% 9.3% 4.6% 2.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Austen Freda 8.9% 12.2% 10.8% 13.2% 15.5% 12.9% 11.4% 9.0% 4.5% 1.4% 0.2%
Nicholas Memoli 2.8% 3.8% 5.8% 7.5% 8.2% 12.4% 16.1% 17.6% 12.1% 11.2% 2.5%
Riley Read 11.8% 12.9% 16.1% 13.4% 16.1% 12.9% 7.6% 5.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Ben Palmer 2.0% 3.2% 3.0% 4.1% 6.6% 10.4% 13.3% 15.2% 21.7% 14.7% 5.8%
Rachel Foster 11.0% 15.1% 15.2% 16.6% 13.0% 11.2% 10.1% 5.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Noah Brayer 1.7% 2.3% 3.7% 5.6% 5.2% 7.9% 10.4% 16.3% 20.1% 17.8% 9.0%
Martin Hooker 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 2.2% 2.7% 3.6% 5.3% 8.1% 14.8% 24.7% 35.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.