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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.56+2.65vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.30+2.10vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.96+1.92vs Predicted
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4Bentley University1.03+2.82vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.13-0.59vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.48+3.41vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.57+0.42vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.39-2.18vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-1.13vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.56-0.60vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.49-8.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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4.1Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.92Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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6.82Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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4.41Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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7.42Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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5.82Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.560.0%1st Place
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2.17Boston University3.490.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gibbs | 13.1% | 19.2% | 19.7% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 11.6% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austen Freda | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 2.9% |
| Riley Read | 10.9% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 13.8% | 24.8% | 39.2% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 19.0% | 15.0% | 6.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 0.6% |
| Noah Brayer | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 21.5% | 17.9% | 10.4% |
| Sergio Gratta | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 24.3% | 40.3% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 42.8% | 26.3% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.