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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Matthew Gibbs 13.1% 19.2% 19.7% 14.4% 15.7% 10.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Rachel Foster 11.6% 14.2% 17.9% 16.1% 13.5% 11.4% 8.6% 4.5% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Austen Freda 7.7% 8.6% 11.7% 16.5% 14.5% 14.7% 12.8% 7.6% 4.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Nicholas Memoli 2.9% 4.1% 4.7% 6.7% 9.2% 10.3% 17.1% 17.5% 15.2% 9.4% 2.9%
Riley Read 10.9% 13.5% 13.5% 15.5% 14.4% 12.2% 9.8% 6.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Martin Hooker 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 2.1% 2.7% 3.0% 5.1% 7.2% 13.8% 24.8% 39.2%
Ben Palmer 2.2% 4.1% 4.2% 3.9% 6.4% 8.4% 13.3% 17.1% 19.0% 15.0% 6.4%
Jennifer Killian 5.8% 5.8% 9.0% 10.1% 11.1% 16.6% 13.0% 13.7% 8.2% 6.1% 0.6%
Noah Brayer 2.1% 2.6% 3.2% 3.8% 5.2% 7.0% 10.5% 15.8% 21.5% 17.9% 10.4%
Sergio Gratta 0.4% 0.8% 1.6% 1.7% 2.2% 4.1% 4.4% 8.0% 12.2% 24.3% 40.3%
Javier De urdanibia panos 42.8% 26.3% 13.7% 9.2% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.