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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.39+5.04vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.49+0.18vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.57+4.75vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.13+0.55vs Predicted
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5Bentley University1.03+1.62vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.56-2.38vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.30-3.02vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-0.24vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.96-4.19vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.56-0.57vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.48-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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2.18Boston University3.490.4%1st Place
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7.75Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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4.55Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.62Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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3.62University of Rhode Island2.560.2%1st Place
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3.98Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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4.81Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.560.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Killian | 3.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 18.4% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 40.5% | 26.6% | 17.1% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 20.9% | 16.0% | 9.8% |
| Riley Read | 8.7% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 15.6% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 12.8% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 9.8% |
| Austen Freda | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sergio Gratta | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 23.6% | 41.9% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 26.5% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.