← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jennifer Killian 3.1% 5.7% 7.6% 10.2% 11.9% 14.3% 18.4% 13.4% 10.6% 4.0% 0.8%
Javier De urdanibia panos 40.5% 26.6% 17.1% 9.1% 4.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Palmer 2.8% 1.6% 3.3% 4.7% 4.9% 8.7% 10.3% 17.0% 20.9% 16.0% 9.8%
Riley Read 8.7% 12.0% 14.2% 14.6% 17.2% 14.2% 8.7% 5.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Memoli 3.8% 4.8% 6.0% 6.6% 8.5% 13.5% 14.4% 16.3% 14.1% 9.5% 2.5%
Matthew Gibbs 15.6% 19.2% 17.2% 17.6% 11.6% 8.6% 6.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Rachel Foster 12.8% 15.8% 17.2% 16.2% 13.9% 10.4% 7.1% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Noah Brayer 2.2% 2.1% 2.9% 4.3% 5.8% 8.7% 11.8% 16.9% 18.1% 17.4% 9.8%
Austen Freda 8.8% 10.2% 12.8% 12.9% 16.3% 13.7% 12.2% 7.2% 4.4% 1.1% 0.4%
Sergio Gratta 0.8% 1.0% 0.5% 1.6% 3.3% 3.1% 4.7% 7.8% 11.7% 23.6% 41.9%
Martin Hooker 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 3.5% 5.2% 8.2% 14.5% 26.5% 34.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.