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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.42+8.66vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+6.31vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+6.27vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.39+2.76vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.78vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.42+0.29vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.48-0.76vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.68-2.67vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.26+1.70vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.00+2.23vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College0.85+1.41vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.79-3.38vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.70-0.27vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-4.78vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.30-5.39vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.37-2.19vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-8.45vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.13-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.66University of Rhode Island1.424.5%1st Place
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8.31University of Miami2.325.8%1st Place
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9.27St. Mary's College of Maryland1.795.4%1st Place
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6.76Dartmouth College2.3910.0%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.328.2%1st Place
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6.29Georgetown University2.4210.9%1st Place
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6.24Harvard University2.489.7%1st Place
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5.33Tulane University2.6814.2%1st Place
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10.7Old Dominion University1.263.5%1st Place
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12.23Connecticut College1.001.8%1st Place
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12.41Eckerd College0.852.1%1st Place
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8.62Cornell University1.795.9%1st Place
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12.73George Washington University0.701.8%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.6%1st Place
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9.61Webb Institute1.304.9%1st Place
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13.81Florida State University0.371.2%1st Place
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8.55University of California at Santa Barbara1.354.9%1st Place
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14.46University of Wisconsin0.130.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nash | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Landon Cormie | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christian Ebbin | 14.2% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| William Hurd | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 10.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 12.8% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 24.6% |
| Jasper Reid | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.