Race 10B

underdog

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jared Dunn 3.4% 4.4% 5.8% 7.7% 8.5% 10.5% 12.4% 11.1% 17.0% 11.9% 7.3%
John Giuliano 20.4% 15.9% 18.0% 13.9% 11.0% 8.3% 7.0% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Jack Kerby-Miller 6.4% 6.1% 8.0% 8.0% 8.5% 11.3% 11.4% 11.9% 12.0% 10.3% 6.1%
John Joseph 12.3% 12.0% 11.3% 14.5% 12.8% 10.8% 10.1% 7.8% 4.8% 2.5% 1.1%
John McGlynn 21.4% 22.2% 14.2% 13.8% 10.8% 7.4% 4.8% 3.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Stephanie Dowling 3.0% 4.1% 5.6% 5.9% 6.0% 7.5% 9.3% 12.4% 13.1% 17.3% 15.8%
Christopher Edwards 8.0% 8.0% 9.5% 9.6% 12.1% 11.9% 10.9% 10.8% 9.4% 6.4% 3.4%
David Pierce 14.3% 16.0% 14.5% 12.7% 11.8% 9.2% 9.0% 6.6% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
Jacob Waldman 4.2% 4.2% 5.1% 6.0% 6.3% 9.1% 9.8% 12.0% 14.1% 15.5% 13.7%
Emerson Krock 4.8% 5.0% 5.3% 5.8% 7.9% 8.7% 10.1% 11.9% 13.4% 16.0% 11.1%
Joshua Revkin 1.8% 2.1% 2.7% 2.1% 4.3% 5.3% 5.2% 8.5% 9.5% 17.5% 41.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.