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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Javier De urdanibia panos 39.7% 26.1% 17.3% 9.1% 5.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Gibbs 15.7% 19.0% 18.0% 16.2% 12.3% 9.8% 5.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Rachel Foster 11.1% 12.8% 16.0% 16.3% 13.6% 14.2% 8.9% 4.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Riley Read 9.5% 12.0% 12.2% 15.5% 17.5% 14.1% 9.2% 5.9% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Jennifer Killian 5.2% 6.6% 7.8% 8.3% 12.9% 13.9% 13.6% 14.9% 11.3% 4.5% 1.0%
Ben Palmer 2.1% 2.4% 4.4% 4.2% 5.6% 8.8% 13.2% 14.8% 20.5% 16.4% 7.6%
Austen Freda 10.2% 12.5% 13.8% 14.8% 12.5% 12.7% 12.4% 7.1% 2.7% 1.3% 0.0%
Martin Hooker 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 1.5% 2.4% 3.3% 4.1% 9.4% 13.7% 25.8% 36.9%
Nicholas Memoli 3.4% 4.2% 5.3% 6.9% 8.8% 10.9% 17.1% 15.7% 13.2% 10.6% 3.9%
Sergio Gratta 0.5% 0.7% 1.4% 2.0% 2.6% 3.0% 3.8% 9.7% 12.7% 21.8% 41.8%
Noah Brayer 1.7% 2.5% 3.0% 5.2% 6.3% 7.8% 11.5% 15.4% 20.3% 17.7% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.