← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.96+3.87vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.56+1.56vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.30+1.22vs Predicted
-
4Boston University3.49-1.74vs Predicted
-
5Bentley University1.03+1.69vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.390.00vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University0.57+0.40vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.13-3.63vs Predicted
-
9University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-1.15vs Predicted
-
10University of Connecticut-0.48-0.66vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.56-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.87Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
-
3.56University of Rhode Island2.560.2%1st Place
-
4.22Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
-
2.26Boston University3.490.4%1st Place
-
6.69Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
-
6.0Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
-
7.4Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
-
4.37Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
-
7.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
-
9.34University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
-
9.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Freda | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 16.1% | 19.0% | 19.8% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 12.1% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 38.6% | 27.4% | 16.8% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 9.0% | 2.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 6.3% |
| Riley Read | 10.0% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 19.0% | 9.8% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 24.2% | 39.2% |
| Sergio Gratta | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 24.4% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.