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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Riley Read 8.4% 13.0% 13.4% 16.5% 15.6% 13.5% 10.1% 6.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Javier De urdanibia panos 41.7% 25.5% 15.7% 9.5% 5.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rachel Foster 10.9% 14.5% 15.1% 15.8% 14.4% 13.9% 9.0% 4.5% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Austen Freda 8.2% 10.0% 11.4% 13.4% 16.0% 15.0% 12.6% 7.7% 3.7% 1.8% 0.2%
Noah Brayer 2.3% 2.4% 4.0% 4.2% 5.9% 6.7% 10.5% 15.7% 18.1% 20.7% 9.5%
Nicholas Memoli 3.1% 4.3% 6.1% 6.9% 8.7% 11.3% 15.5% 16.4% 14.4% 10.0% 3.3%
Matthew Gibbs 16.5% 20.6% 18.2% 15.0% 12.1% 8.1% 5.6% 2.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Jennifer Killian 5.3% 5.5% 9.0% 11.4% 12.3% 13.9% 15.2% 12.2% 10.2% 4.2% 0.8%
Ben Palmer 1.9% 2.8% 4.3% 4.3% 5.1% 8.6% 11.8% 18.3% 19.2% 15.4% 8.3%
Martin Hooker 0.9% 0.5% 1.7% 1.6% 2.2% 4.3% 4.8% 7.6% 15.1% 22.9% 38.4%
Sergio Gratta 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 2.5% 2.9% 4.3% 8.0% 14.3% 24.5% 39.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.