← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.13+3.50vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.49+0.19vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.30+1.20vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.96+0.89vs Predicted
-
5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+2.79vs Predicted
-
6Bentley University1.03+0.74vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.56-3.47vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University1.39-2.20vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University0.57-1.38vs Predicted
-
10University of Connecticut-0.48-0.68vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.56-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.5Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
-
2.19Boston University3.490.4%1st Place
-
4.2Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
-
4.89Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
-
7.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
-
6.74Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
-
3.53University of Rhode Island2.560.2%1st Place
-
5.8Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
-
7.62Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
-
9.32University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
-
9.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Read | 8.4% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 41.7% | 25.5% | 15.7% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 10.9% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austen Freda | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Noah Brayer | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 20.7% | 9.5% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 16.5% | 20.6% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 5.3% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 8.3% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 15.1% | 22.9% | 38.4% |
| Sergio Gratta | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 24.5% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.