Race 1B

central

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christopher Pearson 16.1% 15.7% 15.6% 15.8% 14.6% 11.8% 6.7% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Raymond Groble IV 23.4% 19.0% 16.5% 13.7% 12.8% 8.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Dawson 6.7% 7.8% 9.0% 10.1% 11.8% 13.9% 17.9% 13.9% 7.3% 1.5% 0.1%
Lucie Ford 8.0% 7.7% 9.4% 11.5% 13.5% 15.1% 15.5% 12.7% 5.0% 1.6% 0.0%
Carter Brock 9.4% 11.0% 11.3% 11.6% 13.1% 14.4% 14.4% 9.1% 4.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Wells Drayton 19.0% 19.7% 16.8% 15.6% 9.7% 9.1% 5.7% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Laura Crowley 1.8% 2.9% 2.7% 1.7% 3.1% 3.7% 8.9% 15.0% 34.8% 20.2% 5.2%
Paul de Souza 11.4% 11.5% 15.1% 14.2% 13.4% 12.5% 11.4% 7.3% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Juan Briano 3.3% 4.2% 2.7% 4.7% 6.6% 8.9% 10.9% 25.0% 22.9% 8.7% 2.1%
Renee Tracy 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.6% 2.2% 6.2% 12.1% 40.0% 34.5%
Charles Klinefelter 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 1.0% 2.3% 3.0% 8.0% 26.2% 58.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.