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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.78+2.82vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.38+2.56vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.94+0.58vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+1.09vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.10+0.05vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.02-2.62vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.06-0.01vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.67+0.30vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-1.88+0.78vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.39+0.24vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82University of Rhode Island1.780.2%1st Place
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4.56Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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3.58Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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5.09Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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5.05Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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3.38Boston University2.020.2%1st Place
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6.99Brown University0.060.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Connecticut-0.670.0%1st Place
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9.78Bentley University-1.880.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.390.0%1st Place
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5.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Pearson | 15.7% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Paul de Souza | 11.0% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 18.5% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 22.0% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Briano | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 24.4% | 21.6% | 8.3% | 1.0% |
| Laura Crowley | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 35.4% | 20.5% | 6.0% |
| Renee Tracy | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 13.5% | 40.4% | 35.1% |
| Charles Klinefelter | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 8.1% | 27.0% | 57.7% |
| Christopher Dawson | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.