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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.78+2.79vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.02+1.28vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+2.10vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.94-0.47vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.10+0.09vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.38-1.45vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.06-0.04vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.67+0.29vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-3.60vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.39+0.27vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-1.88-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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3.28Boston University2.020.2%1st Place
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5.1Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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3.53Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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5.09Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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4.55Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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6.96Brown University0.060.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Connecticut-0.670.0%1st Place
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5.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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10.27University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.390.0%1st Place
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9.75Bentley University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Pearson | 15.0% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 23.3% | 19.1% | 17.7% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Wells Drayton | 19.5% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Paul de Souza | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Juan Briano | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 24.2% | 22.3% | 7.2% | 1.0% |
| Laura Crowley | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 33.8% | 22.4% | 5.6% |
| Christopher Dawson | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Charles Klinefelter | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 8.4% | 23.7% | 60.5% |
| Renee Tracy | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 13.3% | 41.9% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.