← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.02+2.35vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.18+2.96vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.78+0.88vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.94-0.44vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University1.10+0.11vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-0.63vs Predicted
-
7Brown University0.06-0.03vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.38-3.54vs Predicted
-
9University of Connecticut-0.67-0.69vs Predicted
-
10Bentley University-1.88-0.22vs Predicted
-
11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.39-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.35Boston University2.020.2%1st Place
-
4.96Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
-
3.88University of Rhode Island1.780.2%1st Place
-
3.56Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
-
5.11Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
-
5.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
-
6.97Brown University0.060.0%1st Place
-
4.46Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
-
8.31University of Connecticut-0.670.0%1st Place
-
9.78Bentley University-1.880.0%1st Place
-
10.24University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Groble IV | 20.6% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 16.0% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 18.8% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Dawson | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Juan Briano | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 24.3% | 21.3% | 7.7% | 0.8% |
| Paul de Souza | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Laura Crowley | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 16.4% | 35.1% | 20.7% | 7.3% |
| Renee Tracy | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 14.6% | 39.3% | 34.5% |
| Charles Klinefelter | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 28.1% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.