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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.78+2.82vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.02+1.31vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.38+1.68vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.94-0.45vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.10+0.11vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18-1.01vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.06-0.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-2.77vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.67-0.68vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.39+0.25vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-1.88-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82University of Rhode Island1.780.2%1st Place
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3.31Boston University2.020.2%1st Place
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4.68Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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3.55Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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5.11Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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4.99Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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6.95Brown University0.060.0%1st Place
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5.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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8.32University of Connecticut-0.670.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.390.0%1st Place
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9.78Bentley University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Pearson | 15.3% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 23.0% | 19.5% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul de Souza | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 18.8% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Juan Briano | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 23.5% | 22.0% | 7.2% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Dawson | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Laura Crowley | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 15.4% | 35.0% | 21.2% | 7.2% |
| Charles Klinefelter | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 8.3% | 25.3% | 58.9% |
| Renee Tracy | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 13.6% | 42.1% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.