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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.94+2.51vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.38+2.55vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.10+2.23vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+1.12vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.02-1.69vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.78-2.25vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-1.81vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.06-0.96vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-1.88+0.77vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.67-1.73vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.39-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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4.55Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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5.23Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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5.12Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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3.31Boston University2.020.2%1st Place
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3.75University of Rhode Island1.780.2%1st Place
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5.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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7.04Brown University0.060.0%1st Place
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9.77Bentley University-1.880.0%1st Place
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8.27University of Connecticut-0.670.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Drayton | 17.7% | 19.7% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul de Souza | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 22.8% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 16.6% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Dawson | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Juan Briano | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 23.9% | 21.5% | 8.6% | 1.1% |
| Renee Tracy | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 12.5% | 39.1% | 36.5% |
| Laura Crowley | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 14.5% | 37.0% | 19.3% | 5.8% |
| Charles Klinefelter | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 7.8% | 29.1% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.