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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.94+2.50vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.10+3.13vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.78+0.89vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.38+0.69vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.02-1.69vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-0.67vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18-2.23vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.06-0.96vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.67-0.67vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-1.88-0.23vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.39-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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5.13Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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4.69Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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3.31Boston University2.020.2%1st Place
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5.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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4.77Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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7.04Brown University0.060.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Connecticut-0.670.0%1st Place
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9.77Bentley University-1.880.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Drayton | 18.8% | 18.6% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 14.9% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paul de Souza | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 22.8% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Dawson | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Carter Brock | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Juan Briano | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 23.6% | 22.0% | 8.7% | 0.7% |
| Laura Crowley | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 7.5% | 15.3% | 35.0% | 20.7% | 7.4% |
| Renee Tracy | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 14.2% | 39.3% | 34.4% |
| Charles Klinefelter | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 27.4% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.