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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.68+4.39vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.42+4.19vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+5.27vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.30+5.89vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.26+5.53vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.70+6.60vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.85+5.42vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.79+0.57vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.84vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.48-3.93vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-1.76vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-3.51vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.42-3.50vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.39-7.23vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.13-0.41vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.00-3.93vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-7.84vs Predicted
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18Florida State University0.37-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Tulane University2.6813.8%1st Place
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6.19Georgetown University2.4210.4%1st Place
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8.27University of Miami2.325.9%1st Place
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9.89Webb Institute1.304.2%1st Place
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10.53Old Dominion University1.263.6%1st Place
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12.6George Washington University0.702.4%1st Place
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12.42Eckerd College0.852.6%1st Place
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8.57Cornell University1.796.1%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.328.1%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University2.4810.4%1st Place
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9.24St. Mary's College of Maryland1.795.0%1st Place
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8.49University of California at Santa Barbara1.355.3%1st Place
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9.5University of Rhode Island1.424.9%1st Place
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6.77Dartmouth College2.398.1%1st Place
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14.59University of Wisconsin0.130.9%1st Place
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12.07Connecticut College1.002.3%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.8%1st Place
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14.1Florida State University0.371.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ebbin | 13.8% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.2% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Jasper Reid | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 18.9% | 31.1% |
| William Hurd | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.