Race 11B

underdog

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Giuliano 18.6% 17.4% 16.4% 14.0% 11.8% 9.1% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Christopher Edwards 7.9% 7.5% 9.4% 9.7% 9.5% 12.1% 11.9% 10.8% 9.7% 7.9% 3.6%
David Pierce 13.0% 12.3% 13.6% 13.5% 12.1% 10.9% 9.3% 7.7% 5.3% 2.1% 0.2%
John Joseph 11.7% 13.4% 10.9% 14.0% 12.6% 11.3% 10.0% 7.7% 5.0% 2.8% 0.6%
John McGlynn 22.0% 19.9% 16.3% 14.4% 9.8% 6.8% 5.1% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Jack Kerby-Miller 5.6% 8.0% 8.3% 8.3% 9.4% 10.2% 11.8% 12.5% 9.9% 9.9% 6.1%
Jared Dunn 6.3% 4.8% 7.7% 7.2% 7.1% 10.9% 10.8% 12.6% 13.0% 11.7% 7.9%
Stephanie Dowling 4.5% 4.3% 4.6% 4.6% 9.4% 8.0% 9.6% 10.3% 14.0% 16.3% 14.4%
Jacob Waldman 4.3% 4.5% 5.0% 4.9% 7.4% 8.0% 9.2% 12.6% 14.5% 15.1% 14.5%
Emerson Krock 4.6% 5.4% 5.5% 5.9% 7.1% 8.0% 10.6% 11.3% 14.2% 15.9% 11.5%
Joshua Revkin 1.5% 2.5% 2.3% 3.5% 3.8% 4.7% 5.7% 7.2% 10.7% 17.1% 41.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.