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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.24+1.06vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-1.00+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.32-1.01vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.26-0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-1.87+1.51vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.84+0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.65-0.68vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.91-2.98vs Predicted
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9Hillsdale College-2.23-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06University of Notre Dame1.240.4%1st Place
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5.36Marquette University-1.000.0%1st Place
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1.99University of Michigan1.320.4%1st Place
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3.9University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.51University of Notre Dame-1.870.0%1st Place
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6.62Marquette University-1.840.0%1st Place
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6.32University of Michigan-1.650.0%1st Place
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5.02Ohio State University-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.23Hillsdale College-2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gallagher | 37.0% | 34.3% | 18.4% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Carney | 3.0% | 4.8% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 4.7% |
| Allison Marozza | 40.2% | 32.6% | 18.0% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Pribe | 9.2% | 12.6% | 19.9% | 23.7% | 17.5% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Walter Mohler | 1.6% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 19.0% | 20.6% |
| Connor McColl | 1.6% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 21.7% | 20.2% |
| Graham Eger | 1.9% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 14.2% |
| Mark Myers | 4.2% | 6.2% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 3.5% |
| Kaitlyn Rowland | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 20.0% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.