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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.32+1.18vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-1.00+3.78vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.24-0.72vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.08-0.26vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.26-0.72vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.00-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.65-0.30vs Predicted
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8Hillsdale College-2.23-0.50vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-1.84-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18University of Michigan1.320.4%1st Place
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5.78Marquette University-1.000.0%1st Place
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2.28University of Notre Dame1.240.3%1st Place
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3.74University of Notre Dame0.080.1%1st Place
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4.28University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.57Ohio State University-1.000.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Michigan-1.650.0%1st Place
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7.5Hillsdale College-2.230.0%1st Place
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6.96Marquette University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Marozza | 37.1% | 30.5% | 16.3% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Carney | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 13.7% | 7.1% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 34.0% | 28.5% | 20.0% | 11.6% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Henn | 10.5% | 15.1% | 21.0% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Brian Pribe | 7.3% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 18.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Steven Neveadomi | 3.4% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 20.1% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 5.7% |
| Graham Eger | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 20.7% | 24.2% | 17.5% |
| Kaitlyn Rowland | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 20.8% | 42.7% |
| Connor McColl | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 23.8% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.