← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.32+0.94vs Predicted
-
2University of Toledo-0.26+1.82vs Predicted
-
3University of Notre Dame1.24-0.98vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University-1.00+0.89vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University-0.91-0.24vs Predicted
-
6University of Notre Dame-1.87+0.15vs Predicted
-
7Hillsdale College-2.23-0.35vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan-1.65-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.94University of Michigan1.320.4%1st Place
-
3.82University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
-
2.02University of Notre Dame1.240.4%1st Place
-
4.89Marquette University-1.000.0%1st Place
-
4.76Ohio State University-0.910.0%1st Place
-
6.15University of Notre Dame-1.870.0%1st Place
-
6.65Hillsdale College-2.230.0%1st Place
-
5.77University of Michigan-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Marozza | 42.5% | 32.3% | 16.3% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Pribe | 8.6% | 11.0% | 25.0% | 22.6% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 37.2% | 35.1% | 18.5% | 7.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Carney | 3.3% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 18.2% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 13.1% | 6.5% |
| Mark Myers | 4.2% | 6.2% | 12.3% | 21.7% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 4.9% |
| Walter Mohler | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 23.1% | 26.9% |
| Kaitlyn Rowland | 1.5% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 21.5% | 45.0% |
| Graham Eger | 1.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 24.9% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.