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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.24+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.32+0.02vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.00+1.82vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.08-0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.26-1.08vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.65-0.42vs Predicted
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7Hillsdale College-2.23-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11University of Notre Dame1.240.4%1st Place
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2.02University of Michigan1.320.4%1st Place
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4.82Marquette University-1.000.0%1st Place
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3.48University of Notre Dame0.080.1%1st Place
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3.92University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Michigan-1.650.0%1st Place
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6.07Hillsdale College-2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gallagher | 37.0% | 30.0% | 21.6% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Allison Marozza | 38.7% | 33.7% | 17.8% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Carney | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 17.0% | 28.7% | 24.3% | 12.1% |
| Sophia Henn | 10.1% | 16.0% | 24.0% | 24.5% | 17.7% | 6.8% | 0.9% |
| Brian Pribe | 7.0% | 10.8% | 19.3% | 27.7% | 20.4% | 11.1% | 3.7% |
| Graham Eger | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 18.5% | 34.5% | 28.8% |
| Kaitlyn Rowland | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 21.8% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.