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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.32+0.99vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.24+0.10vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.26+0.88vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.00+0.86vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.08-1.51vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.65-0.42vs Predicted
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7Hillsdale College-2.23-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99University of Michigan1.320.4%1st Place
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2.1University of Notre Dame1.240.4%1st Place
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3.88University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
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4.86Marquette University-1.000.0%1st Place
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3.49University of Notre Dame0.080.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Michigan-1.650.0%1st Place
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6.1Hillsdale College-2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Marozza | 41.4% | 30.3% | 18.5% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 36.1% | 33.5% | 18.7% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian Pribe | 6.9% | 10.8% | 20.9% | 27.1% | 21.1% | 10.0% | 3.2% |
| Nicholas Carney | 2.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 27.6% | 27.2% | 10.9% |
| Sophia Henn | 10.1% | 15.1% | 25.5% | 24.4% | 16.4% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Graham Eger | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 19.0% | 33.3% | 29.0% |
| Kaitlyn Rowland | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 11.5% | 22.0% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.