← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.68+4.41vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.48+4.13vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University1.79+5.72vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.39+2.83vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.26+5.53vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.42+0.01vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.07vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami2.32+0.48vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College0.85+3.38vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-0.84vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island1.42-1.43vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University0.70+1.00vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College1.00-0.86vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-5.49vs Predicted
-
15Florida State University0.37-1.13vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-7.11vs Predicted
-
17Webb Institute1.30-7.26vs Predicted
-
18University of Wisconsin0.13-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.41Tulane University2.6812.7%1st Place
-
6.13Harvard University2.4811.9%1st Place
-
8.72Cornell University1.795.9%1st Place
-
6.83Dartmouth College2.398.8%1st Place
-
10.53Old Dominion University1.263.7%1st Place
-
6.01Georgetown University2.4210.5%1st Place
-
7.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.329.4%1st Place
-
8.48University of Miami2.325.5%1st Place
-
12.38Eckerd College0.852.1%1st Place
-
9.16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.794.7%1st Place
-
9.57University of Rhode Island1.424.1%1st Place
-
13.0George Washington University0.701.4%1st Place
-
12.14Connecticut College1.002.4%1st Place
-
8.51University of California at Santa Barbara1.355.3%1st Place
-
13.87Florida State University0.371.4%1st Place
-
8.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.455.1%1st Place
-
9.74Webb Institute1.304.3%1st Place
-
14.56University of Wisconsin0.130.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ebbin | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Enzo Menditto | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 13.8% |
| William Hurd | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% |
| Jasper Reid | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 24.7% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.