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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.32+0.88vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-1.00+2.68vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.26+0.57vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.24-2.01vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.84+0.92vs Predicted
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6Hillsdale College-2.23+0.42vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.65-1.34vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.87-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of Michigan1.320.4%1st Place
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4.68Marquette University-1.000.0%1st Place
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3.57University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
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1.99University of Notre Dame1.240.4%1st Place
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5.92Marquette University-1.840.0%1st Place
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6.42Hillsdale College-2.230.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Michigan-1.650.0%1st Place
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5.87University of Notre Dame-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Marozza | 42.3% | 35.1% | 15.9% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Carney | 4.2% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 23.5% | 21.0% | 17.3% | 10.2% | 4.9% |
| Brian Pribe | 8.6% | 13.7% | 27.2% | 25.5% | 15.7% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 38.2% | 35.2% | 18.2% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor McColl | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 24.1% | 20.4% |
| Kaitlyn Rowland | 1.4% | 1.4% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 21.5% | 37.0% |
| Graham Eger | 2.5% | 2.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 17.7% | 20.3% | 20.3% | 17.0% |
| Walter Mohler | 1.3% | 2.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 21.7% | 21.6% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.