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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.24+0.97vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-1.00+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.26+0.60vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.84+1.89vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.65+0.63vs Predicted
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6Hillsdale College-2.23+0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-1.87-1.04vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.32-6.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97University of Notre Dame1.240.4%1st Place
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4.67Marquette University-1.000.0%1st Place
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3.6University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.89Marquette University-1.840.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Michigan-1.650.0%1st Place
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6.39Hillsdale College-2.230.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Notre Dame-1.870.0%1st Place
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1.89University of Michigan1.320.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gallagher | 36.7% | 39.1% | 16.2% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Carney | 4.5% | 6.0% | 12.9% | 23.3% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 11.4% | 3.8% |
| Brian Pribe | 8.7% | 12.5% | 29.2% | 24.0% | 14.7% | 8.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Connor McColl | 1.5% | 2.6% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 19.2% | 22.2% | 21.2% |
| Graham Eger | 1.8% | 2.4% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 22.3% | 20.6% | 14.5% |
| Kaitlyn Rowland | 0.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 20.7% | 36.3% |
| Walter Mohler | 1.9% | 2.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 22.8% | 23.5% |
| Allison Marozza | 44.1% | 32.4% | 16.4% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.