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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-0.04+2.50vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.28+1.10vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.72+1.73vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-1.22+1.48vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.49-2.38vs Predicted
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6Hillsdale College-0.74-1.33vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.21-1.42vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-2.13-0.97vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-3.27-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5University of Notre Dame-0.040.2%1st Place
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3.1University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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4.73University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Toledo-1.220.1%1st Place
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2.62Marquette University0.490.3%1st Place
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4.67Hillsdale College-0.740.1%1st Place
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5.58Marquette University-1.210.1%1st Place
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7.03Ohio State University-2.130.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Notre Dame-3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Frentzel | 16.8% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Youtt | 20.7% | 22.3% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Ellsworth | 7.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Kristen Ruta | 5.4% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 20.0% | 16.2% | 3.2% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 32.7% | 23.9% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Ryland | 8.4% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 6.8% | 1.1% |
| Colin Higgins | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 21.7% | 13.9% | 4.5% |
| Justin Fischer | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 17.0% | 36.1% | 19.8% |
| Emily Doyle | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 16.3% | 69.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.