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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.28+2.01vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-0.04+1.63vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.49-0.34vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-1.22+1.48vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.72-0.39vs Predicted
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6Hillsdale College-0.74-1.26vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.21-1.42vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-3.27+0.29vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-2.13-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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3.63University of Notre Dame-0.040.1%1st Place
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2.66Marquette University0.490.3%1st Place
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5.48University of Toledo-1.220.1%1st Place
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4.61University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.74Hillsdale College-0.740.1%1st Place
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5.58Marquette University-1.210.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Notre Dame-3.270.0%1st Place
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7.01Ohio State University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Youtt | 24.0% | 21.8% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Frentzel | 14.6% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 30.4% | 24.8% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kristen Ruta | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 21.4% | 14.7% | 3.2% |
| Max Ellsworth | 8.0% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 1.8% |
| Maggie Ryland | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 7.6% | 1.4% |
| Colin Higgins | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 20.6% | 15.1% | 4.1% |
| Emily Doyle | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 14.7% | 70.2% |
| Justin Fischer | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 37.1% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.