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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.45+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-1.22+3.49vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.28+0.01vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.72+0.43vs Predicted
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5Hillsdale College-0.74-0.53vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.49-3.38vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-2.13-0.27vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-2.70-0.58vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-3.27-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of Notre Dame0.450.3%1st Place
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5.49University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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3.01University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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4.43University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.47Hillsdale College-0.740.1%1st Place
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2.62Marquette University0.490.3%1st Place
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6.73Ohio State University-2.130.0%1st Place
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7.42Marquette University-2.700.0%1st Place
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8.06University of Notre Dame-3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Pillari | 25.8% | 24.1% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kristen Ruta | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 25.4% | 19.0% | 9.8% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Youtt | 22.3% | 21.0% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Ellsworth | 8.4% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 21.2% | 18.8% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Maggie Ryland | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 11.7% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 27.2% | 27.0% | 19.8% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Fischer | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 12.7% | 30.6% | 26.0% | 11.6% |
| Jack McNally | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 8.8% | 16.8% | 34.2% | 28.3% |
| Emily Doyle | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 22.4% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.