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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.45+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.72+2.72vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.280.00vs Predicted
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4Hillsdale College-0.74+0.45vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-1.22+0.24vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.49-3.37vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-2.13-0.28vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-2.70-0.57vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-3.27-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of Notre Dame0.450.3%1st Place
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4.72University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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3.0University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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4.45Hillsdale College-0.740.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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2.63Marquette University0.490.3%1st Place
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6.72Ohio State University-2.130.0%1st Place
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7.43Marquette University-2.700.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Notre Dame-3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Pillari | 25.8% | 24.2% | 19.4% | 15.5% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Ellsworth | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 20.2% | 11.3% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Youtt | 22.6% | 21.4% | 19.9% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Ryland | 8.7% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 20.3% | 18.5% | 10.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Kristen Ruta | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 22.2% | 18.0% | 9.3% | 2.5% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 27.7% | 27.0% | 18.6% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Justin Fischer | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 13.2% | 30.0% | 25.6% | 11.8% |
| Jack McNally | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 17.8% | 34.1% | 28.4% |
| Emily Doyle | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 23.1% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.